Fantasy desk
Fantasy Expert · Player card
Deshaun Watson
Floor
176
Median
200
Ceiling
224
Model rank / ADP
#47 / 201.0
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+154.0
VOR
+-35.7
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: CLE QB31 (bench) · model #47
- · 3322 pass yards on CLE (~195/g)
- · CLE QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter
- · Value Δ +154 vs ADP ~201
- · VOR -36 vs QB replacement
- · Role volatility: Starter-slot confidence 0.55 — murky pecking order.
- · Game script / SOS: Soft early · Neutral playoffs
- · Preseason sim ranks — not a locked regular-season board.
Why the model ranks them here
- · CLE QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter
Fantasy Expert
Deshaun Watson (CLE): preseason sim QB31 / overall #47 likes him more than market ADP ~201 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 176–224 (med 200). Edge: CLE QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter. Soft early · Neutral playoffs. Flag: Starter-slot confidence 0.55 — murky pecking order. Camp-season sim — not a locked regular-season board.
Schedule · risk
Soft early · Neutral playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 7.7, playoff weeks 8.8.
Role volatility
Starter-slot confidence 0.55 — murky pecking order.