Fantasy desk
Fantasy Expert · Player card
Bo Nix
QB2DENEliteOverall #4Check roleRole vs ADP
Floor
236
Median
269
Ceiling
301
Model rank / ADP
#4 / 107.3
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+103.3
VOR
+33.3
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: DEN QB2 (elite) · model #4
- · 4015 pass yards on DEN (~236/g)
- · Value Δ +103 vs ADP ~107
- · VOR +33 vs QB replacement
- · Game script / SOS: Tough early · Soft playoffs
- · Preseason sim ranks — not a locked regular-season board.
Why the model ranks them here
- · 4015 pass yards on DEN (~236/g)
Fantasy Expert
Bo Nix (DEN): preseason sim QB2 / overall #4 likes him more than market ADP ~107 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 236–301 (med 269). Edge: 4015 pass yards on DEN (~236/g). Survive a hard open; playoff weeks look softer than the start. Camp-season sim — not a locked regular-season board.
Schedule · risk
Tough early · Soft playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 9.4, playoff weeks 7.8.
No major flags
