Fantasy desk
Fantasy Expert · Player card
Jared Goff
QB10DETQB2Overall #14Check roleRole vs ADP
Floor
214
Median
244
Ceiling
273
Model rank / ADP
#14 / 122.7
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+108.7
VOR
+8.3
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: DET QB10 (QB2) · model #14
- · 4223 pass yards on DET (~248/g)
- · Value Δ +109 vs ADP ~123
- · VOR +8 vs QB replacement
- · Game script / SOS: Soft early · Soft playoffs
- · Preseason sim ranks — not a locked regular-season board.
Why the model ranks them here
- · 4223 pass yards on DET (~248/g)
Fantasy Expert
Jared Goff (DET): preseason sim QB10 / overall #14 likes him more than market ADP ~123 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 214–273 (med 244). Edge: 4223 pass yards on DET (~248/g). Soft early · Soft playoffs. Camp-season sim — not a locked regular-season board.
Schedule · risk
Soft early · Soft playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 7.4, playoff weeks 7.4.
No major flags
