C.J. Stroud

QB18HOUStreamerOverall #31Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

198

Median

225

Ceiling

252

Model rank / ADP

#31 / 174.7

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+143.7

VOR

+-10.2

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: HOU QB18 (streamer) · model #31
· 3841 pass yards on HOU (~226/g)
· Value Δ +144 vs ADP ~175
· VOR -10 vs QB replacement
· Preseason sim ranks — not a locked regular-season board.

Why the model ranks them here

· 3841 pass yards on HOU (~226/g)

Fantasy Expert

C.J. Stroud (HOU): preseason sim QB18 / overall #31 likes him more than market ADP ~175 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 198–252 (med 225). Edge: 3841 pass yards on HOU (~226/g). Camp-season sim — not a locked regular-season board.

Schedule · risk

Neutral early · Neutral playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 8.4, playoff weeks 8.9.

No major flags

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