Fantasy desk
Fantasy Expert · Player card
Daniel Jones
QB14INDQB2Overall #25Check roleRole vs ADP
Floor
204
Median
232
Ceiling
260
Model rank / ADP
#25 / 183.7
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+158.7
VOR
+-3.0
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: IND QB14 (QB2) · model #25
- · 3970 pass yards on IND (~234/g)
- · Value Δ +159 vs ADP ~184
- · VOR -3 vs QB replacement
- · Preseason sim ranks — not a locked regular-season board.
Why the model ranks them here
- · 3970 pass yards on IND (~234/g)
Fantasy Expert
Daniel Jones (IND): preseason sim QB14 / overall #25 likes him more than market ADP ~184 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 204–260 (med 232). Edge: 3970 pass yards on IND (~234/g). Camp-season sim — not a locked regular-season board.
Schedule · risk
Neutral early · Neutral playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 8.2, playoff weeks 8.0.
No major flags
