Patrick Mahomes

QB7KCQB1Overall #10Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

221

Median

251

Ceiling

282

Model rank / ADP

#10 / 112.3

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+102.3

VOR

+16.0

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: KC QB7 (QB1) · model #10
· 4392 pass yards on KC (~258/g)
· Value Δ +102 vs ADP ~112
· VOR +16 vs QB replacement
· Preseason sim ranks — not a locked regular-season board.

Why the model ranks them here

· 4392 pass yards on KC (~258/g)

Fantasy Expert

Patrick Mahomes (KC): preseason sim QB7 / overall #10 likes him more than market ADP ~112 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 221–282 (med 251). Edge: 4392 pass yards on KC (~258/g). Camp-season sim — not a locked regular-season board.

Schedule · risk

Neutral early · Neutral playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 8.3, playoff weeks 8.5.

No major flags

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