Geno Smith

QB32NYJBenchOverall #50Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

169

Median

192

Ceiling

215

Model rank / ADP

#50 / 229.5

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+179.5

VOR

+-43.1

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: NYJ QB32 (bench) · model #50
· 3101 pass yards on NYJ (~182/g)
· NYJ QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter
· Value Δ +180 vs ADP ~230
· VOR -43 vs QB replacement
· Preseason sim ranks — not a locked regular-season board.

Why the model ranks them here

· NYJ QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter

Fantasy Expert

Geno Smith (NYJ): preseason sim QB32 / overall #50 likes him more than market ADP ~230 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 169–215 (med 192). Edge: NYJ QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter. Camp-season sim — not a locked regular-season board.

Schedule · risk

Neutral early · Neutral playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 8.8, playoff weeks 8.9.

No major flags

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