Sam Darnold

QB20SEAStreamerOverall #34Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

194

Median

220

Ceiling

246

Model rank / ADP

#34 / 156.3

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+122.3

VOR

+-15.4

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: SEA QB20 (streamer) · model #34
· 3547 pass yards on SEA (~209/g)
· SEA QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter
· Value Δ +122 vs ADP ~156
· VOR -15 vs QB replacement
· Preseason sim ranks — not a locked regular-season board.

Why the model ranks them here

· SEA QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter

Fantasy Expert

Sam Darnold (SEA): preseason sim QB20 / overall #34 likes him more than market ADP ~156 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 194–246 (med 220). Edge: SEA QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter. Camp-season sim — not a locked regular-season board.

Schedule · risk

Neutral early · Neutral playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 8.4, playoff weeks 7.9.

No major flags

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