Baker Mayfield

QB22TBStreamerOverall #36Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

193

Median

219

Ceiling

245

Model rank / ADP

#36 / 150.7

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+114.7

VOR

+-16.5

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: TB QB22 (streamer) · model #36
· 3685 pass yards on TB (~217/g)
· TB QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter
· Value Δ +115 vs ADP ~151
· VOR -17 vs QB replacement
· Preseason sim ranks — not a locked regular-season board.

Why the model ranks them here

· TB QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter

Fantasy Expert

Baker Mayfield (TB): preseason sim QB22 / overall #36 likes him more than market ADP ~151 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 193–245 (med 219). Edge: TB QB: near-replacement projection — streamer / bench depth, not a locked starter. Camp-season sim — not a locked regular-season board.

Schedule · risk

Neutral early · Neutral playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 8.1, playoff weeks 9.0.

No major flags

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