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ARCHIVESeason 2026 · Week 1 · Premium team intel view for matchup prep and execution context.
ARCHIVE · showing 2026 finals (as-of) — not 2026 current
AFC East · KosEdge preview
True PR
Rank #5 · intrinsic 1.062 · nfl-season-engine-v1.27-kicker-layer
new staff
Packaged depth past freshness window — named QB1 / IR / claims on Camp Desk.
Prior slate soft (approx) · 17g
2026 slate average · road-heavy
Schedule outlook only — does not change intrinsic PR
Season preview
KosEdge
August 31, 2026
Allen keeps the ceiling high, but 10.5 leaves no room to ignore a bruised supporting cast
Buffalo can be the best team in the AFC East and still fail to clear this number. That is the useful distinction at 10.5, where the market asks for 11 wins and charges -120 to take the Over. Josh Allen remains the division’s strongest we…
Coverage matrix · AFC East
W–L — with point differential —. Use pass rate and efficiency splits to calibrate spread/total assumptions before pricing.
Pass rate: 54.300 (29)% with red-zone TD rate 22.600 (9)%.
Offense EPA/play +0.139 (1); defense EPA allowed -0.016 (13).
Signal quality improves with full-week injury and depth updates.
0 reported injuries and 12 depth-chart records for this filter.
Impact Badge
Stable availability
Record
—
Win %
—
Point Diff
—
Pass Rate
0.543 (29)
RZ TD Rate
0.226 (9)
Off EPA / Play
0.139 (1)
Def EPA Allowed
-0.016 (13)
| Games | Off Plays | Def Plays | Pass Rate | Early Pass | RZ TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (1) | 62 (3) | 56 (31) | 0.543 (29) | 0.471 (29) | 0.226 (9) |
| Pos | Player | Slot | Order | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB |
Preseason / 0 REG games — prior only (no current sample)
| Josh Allen |
| starter |
| 1 (1) |
| — |
| QB | Kyle Allen | backup | 2 (4) | — |
| QB | Shane Buechele | rotation | 3 (7) | — |
| RB | James Cook III | starter | 1 (1) | — |
| RB | Ray Davis | backup | 2 (4) | — |
| RB | Ty Johnson | rotation | 3 (7) | — |
| WR | DJ Moore | starter | 1 (1) | — |
| WR | Khalil Shakir | backup | 2 (4) | — |
Head coach, offensive coordinator, and defensive coordinator from the shared 2026 staff pack.
Joe Brady promoted OC→HC; new OC
