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ARCHIVESeason 2026 · Week 1 · Premium team intel view for matchup prep and execution context.
ARCHIVE · showing 2026 finals (as-of) — not 2026 current
AFC West · KosEdge preview
True PR
Rank #12 · intrinsic 1.024 · nfl-season-engine-v1.27-kicker-layer
OC change
Packaged depth past freshness window — named QB1 / IR / claims on Camp Desk.
Prior slate hard (approx) · 17g
2026 slate average · road-heavy
Schedule outlook only — does not change intrinsic PR
Season preview
KosEdge
August 31, 2026
The model points Under, but Kansas City’s price and quarterback uncertainty make restraint the sharper position
Kansas City went 6-11, lost Patrick Mahomes to a December ACL and LCL tear, and still opened at 10.5. The number has not moved. Only the price tells you where the resistance sits: Over +115, Under -140.
Coverage matrix · AFC West
W–L — with point differential —. Use pass rate and efficiency splits to calibrate spread/total assumptions before pricing.
Pass rate: 58.700 (5)% with red-zone TD rate 17.000 (28)%.
Offense EPA/play +0.021 (15); defense EPA allowed -0.041 (12).
Signal quality improves with full-week injury and depth updates.
11 reported injuries and 12 depth-chart records for this filter.
Impact Badge
Elevated volatility
Record
—
Win %
—
Point Diff
—
Pass Rate
0.587 (5)
RZ TD Rate
0.170 (28)
Off EPA / Play
0.021 (15)
Def EPA Allowed
-0.041 (12)
| Games | Off Plays | Def Plays | Pass Rate | Early Pass | RZ TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (1) | 61 (13) | 57 (30) | 0.587 (5) | 0.571 (4) | 0.170 (28) |
| Pos | Player | Slot | Order | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB |
Preseason / 0 REG games — prior only (no current sample)
| Patrick Mahomes |
| starter |
| 1 (1) |
| — |
| QB | Justin Fields | backup | 2 (4) | — |
| QB | Garrett Nussmeier | rotation | 3 (7) | — |
| RB | Kenneth Walker III | starter | 1 (1) | — |
| RB | Emmett Johnson | backup | 2 (4) | — |
| RB | Emari Demercado | rotation | 3 (7) | — |
| WR | Rashee Rice | starter | 1 (1) | — |
| WR | Xavier Worthy | backup | 2 (4) | — |
Head coach, offensive coordinator, and defensive coordinator from the shared 2026 staff pack.
