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ARCHIVESeason 2026 · Week 1 · Premium team intel view for matchup prep and execution context.
ARCHIVE · showing 2026 finals (as-of) — not 2026 current
AFC North · KosEdge preview
True PR
Rank #20 · intrinsic 0.983 · nfl-season-engine-v1.27-kicker-layer
new staff
Packaged depth past freshness window — named QB1 / IR / claims on Camp Desk.
Prior slate soft (approx) · 17g
2026 slate average · road-heavy
Schedule outlook only — does not change intrinsic PR
Season preview
KosEdge
August 31, 2026
Pittsburgh's familiar floor meets an old quarterback, a new coach and a difficult second-half schedule
Pittsburgh won ten games and the AFC North in 2025. The market responded with 8.5, the same number DraftKings posted in February, and asks bettors to lay -120 on the Under. That is a clear statement: last year's record is not the baselin…
Coverage matrix · AFC North
W–L — with point differential —. Use pass rate and efficiency splits to calibrate spread/total assumptions before pricing.
Pass rate: 58.500 (6)% with red-zone TD rate 19.000 (23)%.
Offense EPA/play -0.014 (19); defense EPA allowed +0.021 (19).
Signal quality improves with full-week injury and depth updates.
10 reported injuries and 12 depth-chart records for this filter.
Impact Badge
Elevated volatility
Record
—
Win %
—
Point Diff
—
Pass Rate
0.585 (6)
RZ TD Rate
0.190 (23)
Off EPA / Play
-0.014 (19)
Def EPA Allowed
0.021 (19)
| Games | Off Plays | Def Plays | Pass Rate | Early Pass | RZ TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (1) | 59 (27) | 65 (1) | 0.585 (6) | 0.545 (8) | 0.190 (23) |
| Pos | Player | Slot | Order | Report |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB |
Preseason / 0 REG games — prior only (no current sample)
| Aaron Rodgers |
| starter |
| 1 (1) |
| — |
| QB | Mason Rudolph | backup | 2 (4) | — |
| QB | Will Howard | rotation | 3 (7) | — |
| RB | Jaylen Warren | starter | 1 (1) | — |
| RB | Rico Dowdle | backup | 2 (4) | — |
| RB | Kaleb Johnson | rotation | 3 (7) | — |
| WR | DK Metcalf | starter | 1 (1) | — |
| WR | Michael Pittman Jr. | backup | 2 (4) | — |
Head coach, offensive coordinator, and defensive coordinator from the shared 2026 staff pack.
Mike McCarthy HC (new regime)
