Draft flow
Fantasy Expert · Player card
A.Rodgers
QB26PITBenchOverall #43Check roleRole vs ADP
Floor
163
Median
243
Ceiling
331
Model rank / ADP
#43 / 180.3
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+137.3
VOR
+-42.5
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: PIT QB26 (bench) · model #43
- · 3575 pass yards on PIT (~210/g)
- · 31.1 pass TDs
- · Value Δ +137 vs ADP ~180
- · VOR -42 vs QB replacement
- · Game script / SOS: Neutral early · Soft playoffs
Why the model ranks them here
- · 31.1 pass TDs
Fantasy Expert
A.Rodgers (PIT): model QB26 / overall #43 likes him more than market ADP ~180 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 163–331 (med 243). Edge: 31.1 pass TDs. Neutral early · Soft playoffs.
Schedule · risk
Neutral early · Soft playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 8.9, playoff weeks 7.8.
No major flags
