G.Smith

QB22NYJStreamerOverall #38Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

170

Median

250

Ceiling

340

Model rank / ADP

#38 / 229.5

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+191.5

VOR

+-35.0

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: NYJ QB22 (streamer) · model #38
· 3532 pass yards on NYJ (~208/g)
· 30.7 pass TDs
· Value Δ +192 vs ADP ~230
· VOR -35 vs QB replacement

Why the model ranks them here

· 30.7 pass TDs

Fantasy Expert

G.Smith (NYJ): model QB22 / overall #38 likes him more than market ADP ~230 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 170–340 (med 250). Edge: 30.7 pass TDs.

Schedule · risk

Neutral early · Neutral playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 8.8, playoff weeks 8.9.

No major flags

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