J.Goff

QB11DETQB2Overall #18Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

195

Median

289

Ceiling

391

Model rank / ADP

#18 / 122.7

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+104.7

VOR

+3.6

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: DET QB11 (QB2) · model #18
· 4234 pass yards on DET (~249/g)
· 36.8 pass TDs
· Value Δ +105 vs ADP ~123
· VOR +4 vs QB replacement
· Game script / SOS: Soft early · Soft playoffs

Why the model ranks them here

· 4234 pass yards on DET (~249/g)
· 36.8 pass TDs

Fantasy Expert

J.Goff (DET): model QB11 / overall #18 likes him more than market ADP ~123 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 195–391 (med 289). Edge: 4234 pass yards on DET (~249/g); 36.8 pass TDs. Soft early · Soft playoffs.

Schedule · risk

Soft early · Soft playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 7.4, playoff weeks 7.4.

No major flags

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