Draft flow
Fantasy Expert · Player card
J.Brissett
QB15ARIQB2Overall #28Check roleRole vs ADP
Floor
178
Median
262
Ceiling
355
Model rank / ADP
#28 / 222.0
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+194.0
VOR
+-23.0
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: ARI QB15 (QB2) · model #28
- · 3798 pass yards on ARI (~223/g)
- · 33.0 pass TDs
- · Value Δ +194 vs ADP ~222
- · VOR -23 vs QB replacement
- · Game script / SOS: Neutral early · Soft playoffs
Why the model ranks them here
- · 33.0 pass TDs
Fantasy Expert
J.Brissett (ARI): model QB15 / overall #28 likes him more than market ADP ~222 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 178–355 (med 262). Edge: 33.0 pass TDs. Neutral early · Soft playoffs.
Schedule · risk
Neutral early · Soft playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 9.1, playoff weeks 6.6.
No major flags
