Deshaun Watson

QB29CLEBenchOverall #46Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

139

Median

240

Ceiling

357

Model rank / ADP

#46 / 201.0

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+155.0

VOR

+-45.2

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: CLE QB29 (bench) · model #46
· 3060 pass yards on CLE (~180/g)
· 26.6 pass TDs
· Value Δ +155 vs ADP ~201
· VOR -45 vs QB replacement
· Role volatility: Starter-slot confidence 0.55 — murky pecking order.
· Game script / SOS: Soft early · Neutral playoffs

Why the model ranks them here

· 26.6 pass TDs

Fantasy Expert

Deshaun Watson (CLE): model QB29 / overall #46 likes him more than market ADP ~201 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 139–357 (med 240). Edge: 26.6 pass TDs. Soft early · Neutral playoffs. Flag: Starter-slot confidence 0.55 — murky pecking order.

Schedule · risk

Soft early · Neutral playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 7.7, playoff weeks 8.8.

Role volatility

Starter-slot confidence 0.55 — murky pecking order.

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