P.Mahomes

QB12KCQB2Overall #21Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

192

Median

285

Ceiling

387

Model rank / ADP

#21 / 112.3

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+91.3

VOR

+0.0

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: KC QB12 (QB2) · model #21
· 3842 pass yards on KC (~226/g)
· 33.4 pass TDs
· Value Δ +91 vs ADP ~112
· VOR +0 vs QB replacement

Why the model ranks them here

· 3842 pass yards on KC (~226/g)
· 33.4 pass TDs

Fantasy Expert

P.Mahomes (KC): model QB12 / overall #21 likes him more than market ADP ~112 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 192–387 (med 285). Edge: 3842 pass yards on KC (~226/g); 33.4 pass TDs.

Schedule · risk

Neutral early · Neutral playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 8.3, playoff weeks 8.5.

No major flags

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