S.Darnold

QB23SEAStreamerOverall #39Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

168

Median

250

Ceiling

340

Model rank / ADP

#39 / 156.3

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+117.3

VOR

+-35.4

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: SEA QB23 (streamer) · model #39
· 3680 pass yards on SEA (~216/g)
· 32.0 pass TDs
· Value Δ +117 vs ADP ~156
· VOR -35 vs QB replacement

Why the model ranks them here

· 32.0 pass TDs

Fantasy Expert

S.Darnold (SEA): model QB23 / overall #39 likes him more than market ADP ~156 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 168–340 (med 250). Edge: 32.0 pass TDs.

Schedule · risk

Neutral early · Neutral playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 8.4, playoff weeks 7.9.

No major flags

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