K.Murray

QB17MINStreamerOverall #31Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

176

Median

259

Ceiling

351

Model rank / ADP

#31 / 133.3

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+102.3

VOR

+-26.2

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: MIN QB17 (streamer) · model #31
· 3715 pass yards on MIN (~219/g)
· 32.3 pass TDs
· Value Δ +102 vs ADP ~133
· VOR -26 vs QB replacement

Why the model ranks them here

· 32.3 pass TDs

Fantasy Expert

K.Murray (MIN): model QB17 / overall #31 likes him more than market ADP ~133 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 176–351 (med 259). Edge: 32.3 pass TDs.

Schedule · risk

Neutral early · Neutral playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 8.2, playoff weeks 7.9.

No major flags

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