Draft flow
Fantasy Expert · Player card
D.Jones
QB14INDQB2Overall #24Check roleRole vs ADP
Floor
190
Median
281
Ceiling
381
Model rank / ADP
#24 / 183.7
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+159.7
VOR
+-4.2
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: IND QB14 (QB2) · model #24
- · 3844 pass yards on IND (~226/g)
- · 33.4 pass TDs
- · Value Δ +160 vs ADP ~184
- · VOR -4 vs QB replacement
Why the model ranks them here
- · 3844 pass yards on IND (~226/g)
- · 33.4 pass TDs
Fantasy Expert
D.Jones (IND): model QB14 / overall #24 likes him more than market ADP ~184 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 190–381 (med 281). Edge: 3844 pass yards on IND (~226/g); 33.4 pass TDs.
Schedule · risk
Neutral early · Neutral playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 8.2, playoff weeks 8.0.
No major flags
