Draft flow
Fantasy Expert · Player card
T.Tagovailoa
QB31ATLBenchOverall #52Check roleRole vs ADP
Floor
157
Median
232
Ceiling
317
Model rank / ADP
#52 / 242.0
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+190.0
VOR
+-52.8
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: ATL QB31 (bench) · model #52
- · 3394 pass yards on ATL (~200/g)
- · 29.5 pass TDs
- · Value Δ +190 vs ADP ~242
- · VOR -53 vs QB replacement
Why the model ranks them here
- · 29.5 pass TDs
Fantasy Expert
T.Tagovailoa (ATL): model QB31 / overall #52 likes him more than market ADP ~242 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 157–317 (med 232). Edge: 29.5 pass TDs.
Schedule · risk
Neutral early · Neutral playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 8.4, playoff weeks 8.1.
No major flags
