Draft flow
Fantasy Expert · Player card
B.Purdy
QB27SFBenchOverall #44Check roleRole vs ADP
Floor
163
Median
241
Ceiling
328
Model rank / ADP
#44 / 112.3
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+68.3
VOR
+-44.1
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: SF QB27 (bench) · model #44
- · 3463 pass yards on SF (~204/g)
- · 30.1 pass TDs
- · Value Δ +68 vs ADP ~112
- · VOR -44 vs QB replacement
- · Game script / SOS: Neutral early · Tough playoffs
Why the model ranks them here
- · 30.1 pass TDs
Fantasy Expert
B.Purdy (SF): model QB27 / overall #44 likes him more than market ADP ~112 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 163–328 (med 241). Edge: 30.1 pass TDs. Neutral early · Tough playoffs.
Schedule · risk
Neutral early · Tough playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 8.1, playoff weeks 9.4.
No major flags
