Draft flow
Fantasy Expert · Player card
M.Willis
QB32MIABenchOverall #57Check roleRole vs ADP
Floor
144
Median
214
Ceiling
292
Model rank / ADP
#57 / 161.0
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+104.0
VOR
+-71.2
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: MIA QB32 (bench) · model #57
- · 3108 pass yards on MIA (~183/g)
- · 27.0 pass TDs
- · Value Δ +104 vs ADP ~161
- · VOR -71 vs QB replacement
Why the model ranks them here
- · 27.0 pass TDs
Fantasy Expert
M.Willis (MIA): model QB32 / overall #57 likes him more than market ADP ~161 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 144–292 (med 214). Edge: 27.0 pass TDs.
Schedule · risk
Neutral early · Neutral playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 7.9, playoff weeks 9.1.
No major flags
