B.Nix

QB7DENQB1Overall #13Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

200

Median

297

Ceiling

402

Model rank / ADP

#13 / 107.3

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+94.3

VOR

+11.4

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: DEN QB7 (QB1) · model #13
· 3833 pass yards on DEN (~225/g)
· 33.3 pass TDs
· 269 rush yards keep the floor alive on down weeks
· Value Δ +94 vs ADP ~107
· VOR +11 vs QB replacement
· Game script / SOS: Tough early · Soft playoffs

Why the model ranks them here

· 3833 pass yards on DEN (~225/g)
· 33.3 pass TDs
· 269 rush yards keep the floor alive on down weeks

Fantasy Expert

B.Nix (DEN): model QB7 / overall #13 likes him more than market ADP ~107 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 200–402 (med 297). Edge: 3833 pass yards on DEN (~225/g); 33.3 pass TDs. Survive a hard open; playoff weeks look softer than the start.

Schedule · risk

Tough early · Soft playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 9.4, playoff weeks 7.8.

No major flags

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