Draft flow
Fantasy Expert · Player card
C.Ward
QB24TENStreamerOverall #40Check roleRole vs ADP
Floor
169
Median
249
Ceiling
338
Model rank / ADP
#40 / 178.7
Value Δ (ADP − model)
+138.7
VOR
+-36.6
Games projected
17
Check role · why this gap
- · Role: TEN QB24 (streamer) · model #40
- · 3580 pass yards on TEN (~211/g)
- · 31.1 pass TDs
- · Value Δ +139 vs ADP ~179
- · VOR -37 vs QB replacement
Why the model ranks them here
- · 31.1 pass TDs
Fantasy Expert
C.Ward (TEN): model QB24 / overall #40 likes him more than market ADP ~179 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 169–338 (med 249). Edge: 31.1 pass TDs.
Schedule · risk
Neutral early · Neutral playoffs
Opp. expected wins — early 8.6, playoff weeks 8.8.
No major flags
