T.Shough

QB20NOStreamerOverall #36Check roleRole vs ADP

Floor

170

Median

252

Ceiling

342

Model rank / ADP

#36 / 171.0

Value Δ (ADP − model)

+135.0

VOR

+-33.1

Games projected

Check role · why this gap

· Role: NO QB20 (streamer) · model #36
· 3504 pass yards on NO (~206/g)
· 30.5 pass TDs
· Value Δ +135 vs ADP ~171
· VOR -33 vs QB replacement
· Game script / SOS: Neutral early · Soft playoffs

Why the model ranks them here

· 30.5 pass TDs

Fantasy Expert

T.Shough (NO): model QB20 / overall #36 likes him more than market ADP ~171 — treat the gap as a signal, not a lottery smash. Season band 170–342 (med 252). Edge: 30.5 pass TDs. Neutral early · Soft playoffs.

Schedule · risk

Neutral early · Soft playoffs

Opp. expected wins — early 8.4, playoff weeks 7.6.

No major flags

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