CFB research desk
Futures
KosEdge sim next to current book odds. Sim probabilities stay sim-derived. Market is information only — not blended, not a PLAY tag.
Not advice. Missing book prices show —.
Methods · 12-team CFP · N=2500 · cfb-futures-v1-cfp12-2026
Sim-derived probabilities from season paths. Engine cfb-season-engine-v0.15-power-sot · sim as_of 2026-09-10 · used_in_spread=false. Market odds from The Odds API (americanfootball_ncaaf_championship_winner), updated 2026-09-12 07:08:40 UTC. Best American among configured books. Implied % is raw (juice in), not no-vig. Not advice.
National Championship odds joined (134 teams). Best American among configured books. Implied % is raw (juice in), not no-vig. Odds API has no CFP / make-playoff outright. Our CFP % is 12-team field (5 auto + 7 at-large), not a book make-playoff price. Market column is —. Odds API has no conference championship outright. Market column is —.
National Championship
Market matched 40/40 shown
Sort: KosEdge sim · Market implied
- Ohio State
Big Ten
- KosEdge sim
- 16.4
- Market
- +600
- Implied
- 14.3%
- Ole Miss
SEC
- KosEdge sim
- 12.5
- Market
- +2700
- Implied
- 3.6%
- Oregon
Big Ten
- KosEdge sim
- 12.2
- Market
- +1000
- Implied
- 9.1%
- Miami
ACC
- KosEdge sim
- 12.1
- Market
- +900
CFP / Playoff make
Market matched 0/40 shown
- Ohio State
Big Ten
- KosEdge sim
- 100
- Market
- —
- Implied
- —
- Ole Miss
SEC
- KosEdge sim
- 100
- Market
- —
- Implied
- —
- Oregon
Big Ten
- KosEdge sim
- 100
- Market
- —
- Implied
- —
- Miami
ACC
- KosEdge sim
Conference titles
Market matched 0/56 shown
AAC
| Team | KosEdge sim | Market | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTSA | 41.8 | — | — |
| South Florida | 40.4 | — | — |
| Tulane | 7.2 | — | — |
| Memphis | 6.1 | — | — |
| TLSA | 2.3 | — | — |
| NAVY | 1.1 | — | — |
ACC
| Team | KosEdge sim | Market | Implied |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 57.9 | — | — |
| SMU | 14.6 | — | — |
| Virginia |