NFL League Stats
PRESEASONMODEL
Season 2026 · Preseason · MODEL preseason sim. Weekly EPA / pass-rate intel is empty until 2026 weeks play — this table is expected wins / playoff probs, not fake EPA.
Bundle nfl-preseason-sim-2026-20260822T013711Z · 32 teams · switches to intel stats when weekly rows exist
| Team | Conf / Div | 2026 E[wins] | Range | 2026 Playoff % | Division % | SB % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | NFC NFC West | 11.07 | 8–14 | 84.5% | 47.9% | 10.9% |
| Seattle Seahawks | NFC NFC West | 10.81 | 7–14 | 80.4% | 41.8% | 10.0% |
| Detroit Lions | NFC NFC North | 10.69 | 7–14 | 78.9% | 52.9% | 8.8% |
| Denver Broncos | AFC AFC West | 10.51 | 7–14 | 77.8% | 55.3% | 8.3% |
| Philadelphia Eagles | NFC NFC East | 10.35 | 7–14 | 81.1% | 74.3% | 7.2% |
| Houston Texans | AFC AFC South | 10.34 | 7–14 | 73.7% | 37.3% | 7.0% |
| Indianapolis Colts | AFC AFC South | 10.29 | 7–13 | 73.0% | 35.9% | 6.4% |
| Buffalo Bills | AFC AFC East | 10.26 | 7–13 | 75.3% | 51.9% | 6.7% |
| New England Patriots | AFC AFC East | 9.98 | 7–13 | 70.1% | 45.0% | 5.2% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | AFC AFC South | 9.77 | 6–13 | 63.2% | 25.8% | 4.5% |
| Green Bay Packers | NFC NFC North | 9.33 | 6–13 | 54.5% | 23.4% | 3.0% |
| Kansas City Chiefs | AFC AFC West | 9.31 | 6–13 | 55.8% | 27.2% | 3.0% |
| Atlanta Falcons | NFC NFC South | 9.03 | 5–13 | 52.9% | 36.3% | 2.5% |
| Baltimore Ravens | AFC AFC North | 8.98 | 5–12 | 51.7% | 36.4% | 2.5% |
| New Orleans Saints | NFC NFC South | 8.96 | 5–12 | 51.1% | 34.3% | 2.4% |
| Cleveland Browns | AFC AFC North | 8.59 | 5–12 | 43.9% | 29.4% | 1.6% |
| San Francisco 49ers | NFC NFC West | 8.53 | 5–12 | 38.4% | 8.8% | 1.5% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | AFC AFC West | 8.48 | 5–12 | 38.3% | 15.6% | 1.3% |
| Minnesota Vikings | NFC NFC North | 8.38 | 5–12 | 36.5% | 12.0% | 1.4% |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | NFC NFC South | 8.37 | 5–12 | 38.7% | 23.6% | 1.3% |
| Chicago Bears | NFC NFC North | 8.34 | 5–12 | 34.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | AFC AFC North | 8.16 | 5–12 | 35.5% | 22.4% | 1.3% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | AFC AFC North | 7.21 | 4–11 | 20.3% | 11.8% | 0.4% |
| Dallas Cowboys | NFC NFC East | 7.10 | 3–11 | 18.5% | 10.3% | 0.3% |
| New York Giants | NFC NFC East | 7.03 | 3–11 | 18.2% | 10.1% | 0.3% |
| Arizona Cardinals | NFC NFC West | 6.55 | 3–10 | 10.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Carolina Panthers | NFC NFC South | 6.46 | 3–10 | 11.3% | 5.8% | 0.2% |
| Washington Commanders | NFC NFC East | 6.31 | 3–10 | 10.0% | 5.3% | 0.1% |
| Miami Dolphins | AFC AFC East | 6.14 | 3–10 | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | AFC AFC West | 6.07 | 3–9 | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Tennessee Titans | AFC AFC South | 5.88 | 3–9 | 5.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| New York Jets | AFC AFC East | 4.73 | 2–8 | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |